Dear
Friends, strengthen the faith is the way to achieve peace and acceptance of
things you can not change and those are the doorway to happiness.
But
having faith does not mean to abdicate
reason. Rather, faith and reason may be claimed as allies as the philosopher
and theologian Thomas Aquinas said.
I am a
professor of economics and ask permission for, based on reason, show the path
of faith, using as argument one of the fastest-growing areas in microeconomics
today is that game theory.
Game
Theory is actually a branch of applied mathematics that studies strategic
situations and where players choose different actions in an attempt to improve
their outcome or "gain."
The
first formal publication on Game Theory, date1838, in Researches into the
Mathematical Principles of the Theory of Wealth, by the French philosopher and
mathematician Antoine Augustin Cournot.
However,
the North American mathematician, John von Neumann, is considered the founder
of game theory. In 1944 he released The Theory of Games and Economic Behavior
in co-authorship with the Austrian economist Oskar Morgensten.
Game
theory assumes that people act rationally and thus seek strategies of decision
such that the result depends not only on ones own strategy but also the
strategies of other players involved in a game.
A game
consists of players, available strategies for these players and a reward or
payment for each combination of strategy.
One of
the most famous games is the "prisoner's dilemma" which was presented
by mathematician Albert Tucker in 1953 and has many implications in the study
of cooperation and non-cooperation between individuals.
The
situation is as follows: two individuals are suspected of committing a crime.
The sheriff tells each separately:
If you
do not confess and the other also does not confess, we can not do anything
because we have no evidence against you and after two days you two will be
released. But if you do not confess and the other confesses, he will be free because of the cooperation with the police
and you will be 20 years in prison.
On the
other hand if you confess and the other does not confess, you will be free from
prison and your accomplice will be 20
years in prison. If both you and the other suspect confess, both will be jailed
for two years.
Confess means not cooperate with the partner
and not confessing means cooperate with the partner and not confessing means
cooperate.
The other suspect cooperates with you
|
The other suspect does not cooperate with you
|
|
You
cooperate with the other suspect
|
2 days, 2 days
|
20 years, 0
|
You
do not cooperate with the other suspect
|
0, 20 years
|
2 years, 2 years
|
Look that
not cooperate is the dominant strategy of the game as regardless of what your
opponent decide this is the best strategy for any of the two players. In fact
If you are the blue players and the red player cooperate, it is better for you,
the blue player not you cooperate as be free iis better than be 2 days on jail. If the read players do not
cooperate it is also better for you not to cooperate as 2 years in prision is
much better than 20 years. The red player will also think the same as for him
also is better not cooperate regardless what you decide.
If you
haven't watched the movie "A Beautiful Mind", you should. It is about
John Nash (played by Russell Crowe) who won the Nobel Prize in economics for
his foundational contributions to game theory and “Nash Equilibrium”.
In The
prisioner’s dilemma above the result: 2
years, 2 years is a Nash Equilibrium and is the result of the game. Look that
this is NOT the best result for both players but is possible result based on on
the expectation of the decision of the other players which precisely describes
a strategy like that.
In fact if
the blue player decides to cooperate would be better to the red player not to
cooperate as be free is better than stay in prision even if it is only for 2
days and if the red player not cooperate would be better also for the blue
player not to cooperate as 2 years of prision is much better than 20 years.
However if
the blue player do not cooperate. It is better for the red player not cooperate
as 2 years is better than twenty years and if the red players really do not
cooperate it is better for the blue player not to cooperate too. So this is a
Nash Equilibrium as is the best response of each player for what each one think
the other player should do.
The best
result for both players would be do stay 2 days each but this result is the
cooperative which will not be the result of a simultaneous game like that that
is played only once.
So the non
cooperative strategy is a dominant strategy and a Nash equilibrium.
Using
this same principle, we can decide whether or not we should have faith in God. Watch
the match below:
Exist
|
Does not exist
|
|
You believe
|
You go to heaven
|
You
have the comfort in life
|
You do not believe
|
You go to hell
|
Nothing happens
|
Note
that if you believe in God and cultivate the faith one of these two results you'll get:
If God
does exist you will go to heaven when called from this world and there will
meet with your beloved.
If God does not exist, nonetheless believe and have faith is a rational option because as a result you will have the consolation in life in difficult times;
But if you do not believe and God really exists you are doomed to go to hell or nothing happens.
If God does not exist, nonetheless believe and have faith is a rational option because as a result you will have the consolation in life in difficult times;
But if you do not believe and God really exists you are doomed to go to hell or nothing happens.
What
should be your strategy? See to believe is a rational strategy and is the
equilibrium outcome of the game. In fact it is a dominant strategy. Therefore it is rational to have faith!
Paradoxical as it may seem. So let us prepare, strengthen our faith and believe
that our loved ones are well. One day we will meet again!
“For
those who have faith, no explanation is necessary. For those without faith, no
explanation is possible."
St. Thomas Aquinas
St. Thomas Aquinas
Eveline
Carvalho, Ph.D, mom of Iel (in heaven), Breno and Jessica